Countdown

Monday 17 February 2014

Monday 17th February 2014 - YouGov & Populus

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 33% (+1)
LABOUR 40% (+1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (NC)
UKIP 11% (-1)

LABOUR LEAD 7% (NC)

Populus

CONSERVATIVES 33% (+1)
LABOUR 38% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (+1)
UKIP 13% (NC)

LABOUR LEAD 5% (-1)

Sunday 16 February 2014

Weekly Update: 10th - 16th February 2014

POLLS 

Main 4 Political Parties

Sunday 16th February  

COMRES

CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 37% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% 
UKIP 15% 

OPINIUM 

CONSERVATIVES 28%
LABOUR 37%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8%
UKIP 17% 


YOUGOV

CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 39% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 12%


Friday 14th February 


YOUGOV

CONSERVATIVES 33%
LABOUR 39%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 12%

POPULUS

CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 38% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 14% 

Wednesday 12th February

YOUGOV
CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 39%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% 
UKIP 13%


Tuesday 11th February

YOUGOV
CONSERVATIVES 34%
LABOUR 39%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10%
UKIP 11%

Monday 10th February

POPULUS

CONSERVATIVES 34%
LABOUR 36% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11% 
UKIP 12% 

ICM

CONSERVATIVES 34%
LABOUR 38% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10%
UKIP 11% 

AVERAGE OF ALL 9 POLLS (CHANGE ON LAST WEEKS AVERAGE) 


CONSERVATIVES 32.33% (-0.67) SEATS 243 (-6)
LABOUR 38% (-0.5) SEATS 361 (+4)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9.22% (-0.405) SEATS 21 (+2)
UKIP 13% (+1.25) SEATS 0 (NC)

LABOUR LEAD 5.67% (+0.17)

LABOUR MAJORITY OF 72 (+8) (Electoral Calculus)

Sunday 16th February 2014 - Opinium, ComRes & YouGov

ComRes


CONSERVATIVES 32% (+2)
LABOUR 37% (+2)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (+1)
UKIP 15% (-4)

LABOUR LEAD 5% (NC) 

Opinium 

CONSERVATIVES 28% (-1)
LABOUR 37% (+1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% (NC)
UKIP 17% (NC)

LABOUR LEAD 9% (+2)

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 32% (-1)
LABOUR 39% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (NC)
UKIP 12% (NC)

LABOUR LEAD 7% (+1)

Friday 14 February 2014

Friday 14th February 2013 - YouGov & Populus

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 33% (+1)
LABOUR 39% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (+1)
UKIP 12% (-1)

LABOUR LEAD 6% (-1)

Populus

CONSERVATIVES 32% (-2)
LABOUR 38% (+2)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (-2)
UKIP 14% (+2)

LABOUR LEAD 6% (+4)

Thursday 13 February 2014

Wednesday 12th February 2014 - YouGov Poll

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 32% (-2)
LABOUR 39% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% (-2)
UKIP 13% (+2)

LABOUR LEAD AT 7 (+2)

Tuesday 11 February 2014

Tuesday 11th February 2014. New YouGov Poll. Labour lead shrinks

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 34% (+1)
LABOUR 39 (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (NC)
UKIP 11% (-1)

LABOUR LEAD 5% (-1) 

Monday 10 February 2014

Monday 10th February 2014 - Populus, ICM & YouGov Polls.

Populus 

CONSERVATIVES 34% (+1)
LABOUR 36% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11% (+2)
UKIP 12% (-3)

LABOUR LEAD 2% (-1)

ICM


CONSERVATIVES 34% (+2)
LABOUR 38% (+3)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (-4)
UKIP 11% (+1)

LABOUR LEAD 4% (+1)

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 33% (-2)
LABOUR 39% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (NC)
UKIP 12% (+2)

LABOUR LEAD 6% (+2)

Labour lead is fairly stable.

Sunday 9 February 2014

Weekly Update: 3rd February - 9th February 2014

POLLS 

Main 4 Political Parties


Sunday 9th February 

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 35% 
LABOUR 39% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% 
UKIP 10% 

Friday 7th February 

Populus

CONSERVATIVES 33% 
LABOUR 36% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% 
UKIP 15% 

Thursday 6th February

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 38% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% 
UKIP 14% 

Ipsos Mori 
CONSERVATIVES 31% 
LABOUR 38% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 12% 
UKIP 10% 

Wednesday 5th February

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 35% 
LABOUR 39% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% 
UKIP 10% 

Tuesday 5th February

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 33% 
LABOUR 39% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% 

UKIP 13%  


Populus

CONSERVATIVES 32% 
LABOUR 41% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8%
UKIP 11% 

Monday  4th February 

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 33% 
LABOUR 38% 
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11% 
UKIP 11% 

AVERAGE OF ALL 8 POLLS (CHANGE ON LAST WEEKS AVERAGE) 


CONSERVATIVES 33% (+0.12) SEATS 249 (-5)
LABOUR 38.5% (+0.62) SEATS 357 (+4)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9.625% (+0.425) SEATS 19 (+1)
UKIP 11.75% (-1.47) SEATS 0 (NC)

LABOUR LEAD 5.5% (+0.5)

LABOUR MAJORITY OF 64 (+8) (Electoral Calculus)




Sunday 9th February 2014 - YouGov

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 35% (+3)
LABOUR 39% (+1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (NC)
UKIP 10% (-4)

LABOUR LEAD 4% (-2)

Friday 7 February 2014

Friday 7th February: New Populus Poll - Labour lead collapses from 9% to 3%

Populus


CONSERVATIVES 33% (+1)
LABOUR 36% (-5)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (+1)
UKIP 15% (+4)

LABOUR LEAD 3% (-6)
 

Thursday 6 February 2014

Thursday 6th February 2014 - New Ipsos Mori and YouGov Polls

YouGov

CONSERVATIVES 32% (-3)
LABOUR 38% (-1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10% (+1)
UKIP 14% (+4)

LABOUR LEAD 6% (+2)

Ipsos Mori

CONSERVATIVES 31% (+1)
LABOUR 38% (-1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 12% (-1)
UKIP 10% (-1)

LABOUR LEAD 7% (-2)

Wednesday 5 February 2014

Wednesday 5th February 2014 - New YouGov Poll - Labour lead drops to just 4%

YOUGOV


CONSERVATIVES 35% (+2)
LABOUR 39% (NC)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% (+1)
UKIP 10% (-3)

LABOUR LEAD 4% (-2) 

Tuesday 4 February 2014

Tuesday 4th February 2014 - YouGov Poll

YouGov


CONSERVATIVES 33% (NC)
LABOUR 39% (+1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% (-3)
UKIP 13% (+2)

LABOUR LEAD 6% (+1%)

Monday 3 February 2014

Monday 4th February 2014 - Populus Poll & YouGov

Populus


CONSERVATIVES 32% (NC)
LABOUR 41% (+2)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8% (NC)
UKIP 11% (-1)
LABOUR LEAD 9% (+2) 

YOUGOV

CONSERVATIVES 33% (-1)
LABOUR 38% (-1)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11% (+3)
UKIP 11% (NC)
LABOUR LEAD 5% (NC) 

Sunday 2 February 2014

Weekly Update: 27th January - 2nd February 2014

Polls 

Main 4 Political Parties

Sunday 2nd February:

YouGov
CONSERVATIVES 34%
LABOUR 39%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8%
UKIP 11%

Opinium
CONSERVATIVES 29%
LABOUR 36%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8%
UKIP 17%

Friday 30th January:

YouGov
CONSERVATIVES 32%
LABOUR 42%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8%
UKIP 12%

Populus
CONSERVATIVES 32%
LABOUR 39%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11%
UKIP 10%

Thursday 30th January:

YouGov
CONSERVATIVES 35%
LABOUR 38%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 10%
UKIP 11%

Wednesday 29th January:

YouGov
CONSERVATIVES 34%
LABOUR 37%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 12%


Tuesday 28th January:

YouGov
CONSERVATIVES 35%
LABOUR 37%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 13%

Monday 27th January:

Populus
CONSERVATIVES 33%
LABOUR 40%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 11%
UKIP 10%

ComRes
CONSERVATIVES 32%
LABOUR 33%
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9%
UKIP 14%


AVERAGE OF ALL 9 POLLS


CONSERVATIVES 32.88% (254 seats)
LABOUR 37.88% (353 seats)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9.2% (18 seats)
UKIP 13.22% (0 seats)

LABOUR LEAD 5%

LABOUR MAJORITY OF 56 (Electoral Calculus)